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Prediction for CME (2022-09-04T08:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-09-04T08:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21530/-1
CME Note: Visible in the ESE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, not clearly seen in STEREO A COR2. May possibly be associated with eruption and C3.9 flare just east of AR 13093 (near S27E25), visible in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-09-04T07:18Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-09-07T02:39Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: SARM
Prediction Method Note: 
CME observed at 21.5 Rs: 2022-09-04 13:41
 - Time at C2: 2022-09-04 08:48
 - Radial speed: 637.0 km/s
 - Half angle: 34 deg
 - Eruption location: S13E25
 Inferences:
   - No flare association was found
 Predictions for Earth:
   - In-situ shock speed: 597.10 km/s
   - Shock arrival time: 2022-09-07 02:39 (i.e. predicted transit time: 65.87 hours)
Lead Time: 30.65 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Marlon Nunez (UMA) on 2022-09-05T20:00Z
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